Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002196 0.002319 0.002450 0.002599 0.002766 0.002947 0.003162
2025-02-16 0.002003 0.002173 0.002361 0.002589 0.002862 0.003181 0.003590
2025-02-23 0.001905 0.002109 0.002347 0.002647 0.003027 0.003503 0.004170
2025-03-02 0.001789 0.002009 0.002272 0.002617 0.003072 0.003674 0.004579
2025-03-09 0.001684 0.001911 0.002189 0.002562 0.003070 0.003774 0.004902
2025-03-16 0.001640 0.001884 0.002187 0.002608 0.003206 0.004080 0.005600
2025-03-23 0.001598 0.001854 0.002179 0.002642 0.003323 0.004373 0.006359
2025-03-30 0.001539 0.001797 0.002131 0.002615 0.003347 0.004520 0.006893
2025-04-06 0.001471 0.001726 0.002059 0.002547 0.003300 0.004540 0.007180
2025-04-13 0.001424 0.001679 0.002016 0.002518 0.003308 0.004654 0.007707
2025-04-20 0.001347 0.001590 0.001911 0.002391 0.003150 0.004451 0.007435
2025-04-27 0.001317 0.001563 0.001891 0.002388 0.003192 0.004619 0.008133
2025-05-04 0.001303 0.001557 0.001902 0.002436 0.003329 0.005006 0.009660
2025-05-11 0.001275 0.001532 0.001885 0.002441 0.003393 0.005264 0.011030
2025-05-18 0.001264 0.001530 0.001900 0.002497 0.003557 0.005776 0.013878
2025-05-25 0.001231 0.001496 0.001867 0.002472 0.003566 0.005939 0.015551
2025-06-01 0.001194 0.001454 0.001820 0.002422 0.003524 0.005972 0.016654
2025-06-08 0.001184 0.001450 0.001829 0.002464 0.003665 0.006506 0.022022
2025-06-15 0.001171 0.001441 0.001831 0.002495 0.003786 0.007031 0.030077
2025-06-22 0.001145 0.001413 0.001802 0.002470 0.003791 0.007222 0.036303
2025-06-29 0.001112 0.001374 0.001754 0.002409 0.003712 0.007136 0.038234
2025-07-06 0.001089 0.001348 0.001726 0.002383 0.003704 0.007281 0.046379
2025-07-13 0.001046 0.001292 0.001651 0.002268 0.003497 0.006737 0.036649